Aug 11, 2026 – The Trump administration remains
"fully committed" to passing the CLARITY Act in September, according
to White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt, even as the bill's chances of
becoming law this year have dropped to just 19% on prediction markets .
Witt, Executive Director of the President's Council of
Advisors for Digital Assets, confirmed the administration's stance in comments
posted on X on August 11, saying that "durable rules, the kind only
legislation can provide, are needed now more than ever" .
"Every time Democrats have delayed this bill,
America has fallen further behind in the digital asset race. This has
jeopardized our leadership role in global financial markets, weakening our
national security, and denying law enforcement the tools they need to stop
crypto crime."
— Patrick Witt, Executive Director, President's
Council of Advisors for Digital Assets
September 15: The Cloture Showdown
Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) filed a cloture
motion on August 8, setting up a key procedural vote for September 15
at 2:15 PM ET, when the Senate returns from its five-week August
recess .
What's at stake: The cloture motion
requires 60 votes to advance the bill and overcome a
Democratic filibuster. Republicans hold 53 Senate seats, meaning they need
support from at least seven Democrats to proceed .
The bill has already passed the House and cleared the Senate
Banking Committee 15-9 in May, but it has stalled in the full Senate over
disagreements on developer liability, ethics provisions, and stablecoin
regulations .
What's in the CLARITY Act
The CLARITY Act would establish a comprehensive federal
framework for digital assets, ending the "regulation by enforcement"
approach that has dominated U.S. crypto policy .
Key provisions include:
- Clear
classification of digital assets as securities, commodities, or payment
stablecoins
- Protections
for non-custodial software developers and blockchain infrastructure
providers
- Bankruptcy
remoteness provisions to protect customer assets if an exchange fails
- Ethics
rules for federal officials involved in crypto
- Increased
funding for law enforcement to investigate crypto-related crime
Why Passage Is Uncertain
Despite the administration's push, analysts have reduced
their expectations for passage:
- Polymarket traders
now price a 19% chance that the CLARITY Act becomes law
in 2026 — down from above 50% during much of the spring
- TD
Cowen Washington Research Group analyst Jaret Seiberg assigns
a 25% probability of enactment this fall
Two disputes remain unresolved ahead of the September
vote :
- Ethics
provisions: Democratic senators have demanded stricter ethics
rules targeting Trump-linked crypto interests
- Stablecoin
rewards: Banking industry groups have pushed back against
provisions that could allow companies to pay rewards to stablecoin
holders, arguing it could pull deposits away from community banks
Developer liability has also been a flashpoint.
A revised proposal backed by law enforcement and key Democrats would make it
easier to prosecute crypto software developers, but the White House dismissed
the latest version as "not even close" to meeting its expectations .
What Delay Means for Crypto
The delay extends uncertainty for crypto exchanges, token
issuers, and investors who have been waiting for clearer federal rules
governing digital assets .
Grayscale Research Director Zach Pandl said the
CLARITY Act now seems unlikely to pass Congress this year, noting that the
Senate's busy schedule and election-year politics make it difficult to reach a
bipartisan agreement .
However, Pandl noted that failure of the bill "will not
directly impact the demand for Bitcoin as a store of value, the functioning of
major blockchains, or the growth in stablecoin payments in the short
term" .
Industry voices remain optimistic: Cody Carbone,
CEO of crypto trade group Digital Chamber, said: "While this isn't the
result any of us hoped for when we began the week, the fight is far from over.
The next few weeks, we will continue to work to find the last pieces of common ground
needed to set up a successful vote when Congress returns in
September" .
What Happens Next
If the cloture vote succeeds on September 15, the bill moves
toward a final passage vote. If it fails, the CLARITY Act may not get another
chance in 2026.
Federal regulators are moving on separate crypto rules in
the meantime. The SEC will hold an open meeting on August 14 to consider a
proposal for a tailored offering regime covering certain investment contracts
involving crypto assets .
The regulatory track does not replace the CLARITY Act, which
would set broader market structure rules through legislation. But the SEC's
August meeting shows that federal agencies are preparing to act while Congress
works through the outstanding disputes .
CoinaiNews provides independent market analysis and
coverage of cryptocurrency, technology, and financial markets. The information
presented does not constitute financial advice.

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